Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 10.260887 11.340618 12.498318 13.834020 15.335166 16.973036 18.899291
2025-10-19 8.581732 10.058323 11.750891 13.843067 16.371341 19.342402 23.119423
2025-10-26 7.271382 8.955376 10.998495 13.679094 17.131697 21.467153 27.383542
2025-11-02 6.259370 8.045190 10.321299 13.468419 17.759295 23.481107 31.816735
2025-11-09 5.461417 7.285423 9.712780 13.228939 18.274538 25.381336 36.380136
2025-11-16 4.847005 6.682504 9.221044 13.055885 18.821586 27.363772 41.355051
2025-11-23 4.372374 6.209951 8.841590 12.972765 19.457865 29.531228 46.941815
2025-11-30 4.074866 5.952779 8.733067 13.261861 20.675406 32.738395 54.733814
2025-12-07 3.727972 5.580950 8.405042 13.157240 21.231552 34.928951 61.149254
2025-12-14 3.386100 5.180098 7.985635 12.846029 21.386303 36.434786 66.561638
2025-12-21 3.140183 4.905192 7.735030 12.778541 21.937763 38.695390 73.783982
2025-12-28 3.013620 4.809735 7.764562 13.188616 23.385769 42.800133 85.453065
2026-01-04 2.882981 4.699421 7.764561 13.558600 24.835514 47.187420 98.769048
2026-01-11 2.714816 4.509947 7.609222 13.625720 25.712463 50.575324 110.644587
2026-01-18 2.534641 4.283631 7.366776 13.499575 26.185245 53.196539 121.332568
2026-01-25 2.364310 4.060267 7.108665 13.312825 26.505835 55.537392 131.876683
2026-02-01 2.205961 3.845534 6.846903 13.088821 26.715217 57.659733 142.363017
2026-02-08 2.070245 3.661658 6.626942 12.925203 27.033373 60.084718 154.253906
2026-02-15 1.956949 3.510895 6.457318 12.847444 27.533175 63.028012 168.346678
2026-02-22 1.893738 3.450609 6.459397 13.136084 28.921650 68.424375 191.113086
2026-03-01 1.794241 3.311923 6.292149 13.034234 29.361551 71.449235 207.412883
2026-03-08 1.682491 3.140934 6.045078 12.727302 29.256218 73.000962 219.394049
2026-03-15 1.602710 3.028274 5.909621 12.661105 29.747680 76.280904 238.146362